Sunday, October 31, 2004
Get prepared to be really impressed
So one of these weeks, everyone picking against the Pats, with the "upset special" is going to pay off - if you pick them to get upset every week, are we supposed to think you're some kind of genius when it actually happens?
Of course it will happen one of these weeks. The Pats have combined consistent skill, great schemes, and some luck to put together this streak. In a league of parity and "any given Sunday," they have to lose one of these weeks.
I don't think it happens this week, although it could. But I doubt they make it past 10-0.
Think of it this way. If the Pats have a 60% chance of winning at Pittsburgh, a 60% chance of winning at St. Louis, a 90% chance of winning at home against the Bills, a 67% chance of winning at KC, and a 70% chance of winning at home against Baltimore, then simple statistics tells us that their chance of reaching 11-0:
15%
Then again, mathematically that was pretty close to the Sox chances of coming back when they were down just 2-0 to the Yankees. So you never know...
Of course it will happen one of these weeks. The Pats have combined consistent skill, great schemes, and some luck to put together this streak. In a league of parity and "any given Sunday," they have to lose one of these weeks.
I don't think it happens this week, although it could. But I doubt they make it past 10-0.
Think of it this way. If the Pats have a 60% chance of winning at Pittsburgh, a 60% chance of winning at St. Louis, a 90% chance of winning at home against the Bills, a 67% chance of winning at KC, and a 70% chance of winning at home against Baltimore, then simple statistics tells us that their chance of reaching 11-0:
15%
Then again, mathematically that was pretty close to the Sox chances of coming back when they were down just 2-0 to the Yankees. So you never know...
# posted by Darlucky @ 1:34 PM 
