Wednesday, December 15, 2004
Renteria = wins
OK, so the idea of putting together a team in the offseason is to put together a team that will win games, right? I think some people may be looking at Renteria as a nice replacement for Nomar or Cabrera. But, another way to look at it is that he will help the team win more games next year than they did in 2004. If the Sox can equal their wins from last year, then they put themselves in a great position to get back to the World Series.
3 win shares is basically equivalent to 1 win. Last year, the combined Red Sox short stops only combined for about 9 win shares. Nomar and Cabrera combined for 10.5, but the combined "contribution" of Crespo and Pokey Reese actually hurt the team.
Renteria put together 17 win shares. By this measure, he may be worth 2.67 wins more than the Red Sox shortstop crew from last year. Hopefully that can counteract the Red Sox potential pitching deficit.
UPDATE: Another stat you can look at for this sort of thing is VORP (Value Over Replacement Players), which measures how valuable a player really is compared to an average schmoe that you could plug in in his place. Nomar + Cabrera = 30.3 (Sox stats only). Renteria is at 27.3. But Crespo and Reese, again, post significantly negative numbers (more reason not to sign Reese for any significant cash).
So if Renteria can stay healthy, he will give them greater production than the Sox received last year, but maybe a little less than they got in the time that Nomar and Cabrera were healthy.
3 win shares is basically equivalent to 1 win. Last year, the combined Red Sox short stops only combined for about 9 win shares. Nomar and Cabrera combined for 10.5, but the combined "contribution" of Crespo and Pokey Reese actually hurt the team.
Renteria put together 17 win shares. By this measure, he may be worth 2.67 wins more than the Red Sox shortstop crew from last year. Hopefully that can counteract the Red Sox potential pitching deficit.
UPDATE: Another stat you can look at for this sort of thing is VORP (Value Over Replacement Players), which measures how valuable a player really is compared to an average schmoe that you could plug in in his place. Nomar + Cabrera = 30.3 (Sox stats only). Renteria is at 27.3. But Crespo and Reese, again, post significantly negative numbers (more reason not to sign Reese for any significant cash).
So if Renteria can stay healthy, he will give them greater production than the Sox received last year, but maybe a little less than they got in the time that Nomar and Cabrera were healthy.
# posted by Darlucky @ 1:59 PM 
