Monday, April 18, 2005

 

Wondertwins activate!

So I've joined forces with some people that are much smarter than me at the Daily 411, where I will hopefully be a consistent contributor.

This is the part where I would say "update your bookmarks" if I actually believed that anyone had me bookmarked.

Sunday, April 17, 2005

 

Whatsa matta with the Yankees?

A (not so) quick look at the Yankee lineup, which is being "raped over the coals" as one of my friend's says, by the media. Here's a short review of how they are doing and how this would likely change going forward:

Derek Jeter - Jeter's off to a good start, he can probably drive the ball a bit more often, but if he just kept up his current pace out of the leadoff spot he'd be one of the better leadoff guys in the league.
Alex Rodriguez - Current pace: .205, 16 home runs, 65 RBI, 65 runs, 162 strike outs, and a big set of goat horns for his play in the field.
Gary Sheffield - He's starting to hit. That .758 OPS will climb up to 1.000 before too long. So the Yankees have their second source of potential extra runs.
Hideki Matsui - Matsui's been great. He probably can't quite keep up this pace, but he probably won't be too far off of it either. His high RBI total is due in part to the inability for the previous two guys to do anything at all.
Jason Giambi - We have no idea what we're going to get from this guy. I would be that he'll get slightly better, certainly getting his OPS over .800 which is OK, but he'll still be infuriating Yankee fans. For now, I'll just say that he'll just keep up his current pace.
Jorge Posada - This is probably the toughest guy to call. Has he just gotten old, or is he in a slump? I think it's probably a combination of both, but he looked so bad yesterday that I'd say it's mostly slump. It didn't look like bat speed, he just looked uncomfortable in the batter's box and had no idea what he was doing. I'd say he'll fall between last year's numbers and this year's pace.
Ruben Sierra/Tino Martinez - Ugh. If Bernie is washed up, the bottom of the lineup is not scary at all. I think we're getting what we're going to see out of the Yankee DH/1B platoon here.
Bernie Williams - Another big question mark. I think if the Yankees had signed Beltran I wouldn't be writing this post, but I'm glad for the chance. Bernie Williams is no longer Bernie, but he's not yet a .219 hitter either.
Tony Womack - Sorry Yankee fans, a .306 OBP and a matching slugging is about all you're going to get from this guy, even if the YES announcers will get over-excited about the 30 steals that comes along with it. But then again, it's your #9 hitter, so really, that isn't too bad.

Based on where the Yankees players are individually, and what I would expect going forward, I compared that to runs created to see how many more runs they would have to date if they were on their expected pace. Looking through, I'd expect A-Rod to pretty much triple his offensive contribution in terms of runs created (5 more runs to this point), Sheff to increase by 33% (2 more runs), Matsui's slight decline to offset Sheff, and Bernie and Jorge to each increase such that would have added 1 run each.

So where would 7 more runs put them at this point? Having scored 56, and given up 69, which works out to be a .400 winning percentage. Ouch. That's a 65-97 record.

So as I listen to radio hosts rip through the lineup (A-Rod, Giambi, Tino, Sierra, Posada, Sheffield), I think that it is somewhat warranted. But the reality is that Yankee pitching has given up one less run than Texas, and 8 less than Colorado, and everyone else in the majors has been better. So while the fans and media can look at some of the "stars" that aren't hitting, and question Torre for his bizarre lineups, it is the pitching that everyone should be focusing on.

The list of underperforming pitchers is much longer than the list of hitters, and it starts with key acquisitions that can't get anyone out (Jaret Wright, Felix Rodriguez), the former anchors of the bullpen who have gone from automatic to heart-attack provoking (Gordon and Rivera), and a former ace who's been averaging almost 2 baserunners per inning (Mussina).

These guys are old, so it could be the alignment of all of them getting too old at the same time. Today, Kevin Brown, another old pitcher will try to right the ship. I wouldn't be nervous as a Yankee fan after 11 games. It's early. If Brown gets pounded today, I start to get nervous.

But in reality, Johnson will be better. Pavano will be a bit better. Mussina will be better. Gordon and Rivera will be better. They HAVE to be, or this team will be the biggest bust in the history of the major leagues. But I'd put money on them performing more like their 2004 forms than their early 2005 forms, as the rest of the season plays out. So if the odds of the Yankees making the world series have taken a dive over the last week, it might make for a good investment.

You know, if betting on the Yankees winning wouldn't corrode your soul and put a curse on your first-born child.

Friday, April 15, 2005

 

Shuffle

So, what are the next 10 (or last 10 songs) played on your iTunes/iPod/mp3 player?

iTunes likes hip hop this morning:

1. Picture Me Rollin - 2Pac
2. Fight Music - D12
3. Techno Club - Pablo Francisco (comedy)
4. Needles - System of a Down
5. Lick Dem M**haphu**as - Brand Nubian
6. What's Beef? - Notorious B.I.G.
7. Chicken Grease - D'Angelo
8. F*** You - Cam'Ron
9. My 1st Single - Eminem
10. Fresh, Wild, and Bold - Cru

Thursday, April 14, 2005

 

NCAA to NBA Bracket 4

Remember this? Can I get done before the NBA playoffs start, now that I couldn't get it done before the NCAA tourney ended? Stupid work!

Now, the Danny Ferry bracket:

2 Duke vs. 15 California

Duke: Chris Duhon, Corey Maggette, Grant Hill, Carlos Boozer, Elton Brand
Bench: Luol Deng, Mike Dunleavy, Shane Battier, Christian Laettner, Dahntay Jones

Cal: Jason Kidd, Lamond Murray, Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Sean Marks, Francisco Elson
Bench: Michael Stewart

It would be fun to write up a scenario where Jason Kidd is able to exploit the one weakness of Duke (point guard), and lead the team to an improbable victory. Because really, who wants Duke to win? But then unfortunately I looked at the players. Duke has 8 guys (all but Jones and Duhon) that would crack Cal's starting lineup. Cal has 2 guys that could crack Duke's 9-man rotation.

Chris Duhon would just be able to bring the ball up, run the offense through Hill and the post-men, and just slowly grind out a victory against Cal, who is too big at every position, but not very skilled at most. Cal's lone bench player may not even be in the NBA any more from what I can tell, while Duke could just keep coming with Deng, Battier, and Dunleavy, who can all score. This turns into a rout, as Duke, as usual, gets an easy draw. The consolation, is that their next game will be tough.

The two biggest surprises for me looking into this one: Maggette scores 22 points per game this year, and Sean Marks is white.

7 Arizona vs. 10 Michigan State

Arizona: Mike Bibby, Gilbert Arenas, Richard Jefferson, Luke Walton, Loren Woods
Bench: Jason Terry, Damon Stoudamire, Andrew Iquadola

MSU: Eric Snow, Jason Richardson, Morris Peterson, Zach Randolph, Kevin Willis
Bench: Steve Smith, Mateen Cleeves

This game could be a toss-up, as both teams have 3 really good starters and no real big-man depth, so I'll have to give it the old Dr. Jack treatment.

Point guard: Bibby is a true winner, and since I get most of my non-Atlantic Division NBA coverage from Bill Simmons, I have to believe that Bibby is still one of the most valuable players in the league. Advantage: Arizona
Shooting guard: Arenas is all over the NBA's top 10 stat lists this year, and despite his reputation as a bit of a selfish player, he is the best player on a playoff bound team. Richardson is a spectacular dunker, who is a better rebounder and turns the ball over less than Arenas, while still scoring 22 points per game. This is a really tough one, and the edge is only slight I think, but Advantage: Arizona
Small forward: I always used to confuse Richard Jefferson and Jason Richardson. I guess that's understandable. Mo-Pete is a nice player. But when I think of his strength, I think of 3-point shooting (which he is only 5% better than Jefferson), while Jefferson is better at just about everything else, except turnovers. Advantage: Arizona
Power forward: So at this point you might think, why is the breakdown necessary if Arizona has every advantage. Well here is the crushing advantage that negates the Bibby vs. Snow difference. On one side, you have a decent bench player who can distribute the ball a bit, and on the other side you have a guy who has averaged about 20 and 10 over the past two years. Whatever you want to say about Randolph's personality (see mugshot: here), he scores and rebounds with anyone in this tourney. Advantage: MSU
Center: 4 points, 5 rebounds, 15 minutes per game, and a younger body, or an old man, 3 points, 3 rebounds, and 11 minutes per game. Woods is a disapointment. Willis is over the hill. Advantage: Tie
Bench: This is probably the difference maker in the end. MSU would need to sub out for old man Willis, and all they could do is move Randolph to the 5, and have to move everyone else up a position as well to make room for Smith or Cleeves. Because of that, they cannot fully capitalize on their frontcourt advantage. Meanwhile, Arizona has a scorer (Terry) and a shutdown defender (Iquadola), that can pretty much hang with the MSU starters. Throw in a stoner who can make sure the team is ready to party after the game, and Arizona has their final edge. Advantage: Arizona

If MSU had a center, this would be a great game. Instead, it's a really good one, taken by Arizona.

So to review, the quarterfinals will feature Kentucky vs. UCLA, UNC vs. UConn, Georgia Tech vs. Kansas, and now Duke vs. Arizona.

Tuesday, April 12, 2005

 

Class

This was such a class move by the Yankees.

I'm glad the Red Sox acknowledged it so strongly as well. We'll completely forget about it when there is the inevitable brawl in July, but it was very cool to see.

I personally hope that the Red Sox never need to watch the Yankees get their rings, but if they are ever in the same situation, I hope that they will remember this and do the same. It is really nice to be known as an organization that "does things right," even if detractors can point to lots of instances where they didn't do things right.

Wish I could have watched the whole ceremony. Mariano Rivera's waving to the cheering fans has to be one of the funnier things I've seen in sports in a while. Well played Mariano!

Wednesday, April 06, 2005

 

Lucky and Good

So the Sox are not going to go 0 for 2005.

The Sox got lucky, A-Rod's blunder cost the Yankees the game. But, the Red Sox offense was relentless, they put up a team on-base percentage of .455 for the game. Despite the infuriating and laughable base-running errors and double plays, that number of base runners will win you a lot of games. That's what this lineup was put together to do.

Yankee fans have good reason to be nervous about Rivera. Rivera has now blown something like 9 of his last 24 save chances against the Red Sox, while only blowing 14 in 170+ chances in the same period against the rest of the world. But his inability to get out of a jam today, (while being allowed to throw 38 pitches to get two outs), are either signs of a shaky start or a deeper problem. Rivera isn't known to be shaky, so make of that what you will.

Edited to add: Speaking of Rivera, I think it's a bit early for Yankee fans to be booing their closer, when they are 2-1, four of the runs were unearned, and the guy is a future hall-of-famer who will one day have his big ears on a plaque in Monument Park. I can't remember ever hearing Yankee fans boo Rivera before. Ever. I would have thought he could have taken off his pants and had a Mets tattoo on his ass, and the Bleacher Creatures would still at least applaud politely.

Just another sign that the rivalry has evolved.
 

Renteria-Cha-Cha-Cha

Unbelievable. I know everyone hits bad patches, and it all evens out in the end, but you think Edgar might be pushing a bit?

Here's his stat line so far:

10 AB
0 hits
4 Double plays
2 K's

So he's responsible for 14 outs already. Three of his double-plays have come with a man on second, killing rallies. He's like a combination of 2003 Johnny Damon (can't hit with men in scoring position) and Jim Rice (the older Jim Rice, when he was better known for double plays than hitting home runs).

Meanwhile, you can't assume the double play, but his error yesterday should have not just been one out, but should have been two. That led directly into Matsui's three run home run. In a one run game. And his poor fielding in the first game led to runs as well.

I've been joking that I miss Nomar. But in reality, right now we would have been better off with Cesar Crespo over these first 3 games. He better turn it around by Monday or he's going to really hear it in Boston.

Tuesday, April 05, 2005

 

Looking for good news?

OK, so the Sox are 0-2, Renteria has been absolutely horrible, various members of the bullpen have looked shaky while the starters have been wild. But hey, they have Jason Varitek as catcher and captain, and he showed once again that the Sox have no fear of Rivera.

Meanwhile, the UConn Huskies are no longer defending champions in men's basketball. But ESPN has them ranked as their pre-pre-pre-season #1 for 2005-6.

The Huskies are loaded for 2006, even without Villanueva, and should be playing with a purpose after their early NCAA exit. That's why we like them to cut down the nets for the second time in three seasons.

The Huskies bring back one of the top scoring point guards in Marcus Williams. They'll have a potential lottery pick who should star even more in
wing Rudy Gay, and a deep frontcourt with Josh Boone, Hilton Armstrong and Ed Nelson. The wings are set with Denham Brown and Rashad Anderson. And, barring another medical setback, the Huskies will get the point guard they thought would be playing this season in A.J. Price.

Calhoun said he expects the Huskies' forwards, notably Boone, Armstrong and Nelson, to have monster seasons. Anderson should be back to his 2003-04 form after recovering from a potentially fatal infection. Calhoun expects Andrew Bynum and Jeff Adrien to have major impacts off the bench as freshmen. He loves their toughness.
So, add all of that together – overall talent, a renewed purpose after the disappointment of this past March, and the team's finally being healthy and free of freaky illnesses – and the Huskies should be poised for a title run.


Duke is #2, not surprisingly. Nova is #4, Louisville #11, West Virginia #15, 'Cuse #22, so the Big East will be back in a big way next year.

Monday, April 04, 2005

 

Get used to it

Beltran homers

Pedro strikes out 12

Bullpen blows it
 

Oh for One

A few thoughts after last night:

Edgar Renteria should not drink with Kevin Millar before the games. I am really excited about Renteria, but it would be tough to have a worse start than the one he had.

Gary Sheffield is rapidly climbing the list of people that are nearly impossible to root for. Although now that he is presumably off the juice, there is less probability that he will kill someone with his bare hands during a game. Fans, umpires, opponents, and A-Rod can all breathe easier.

Joe Morgan is so awful, that I was actually excited that we got to listen to the YES announcers instead, as the local coverage pre-empted ESPN2's broadcast. That said, I am sure the YES guys are going to drive me crazy by the end of the year, if not April.

Last year has changed the dynamic of the rivalry in a big way, and it is already evident. While the announcers still couldn't resist talking about the past, it was with a different tone and aim. And with the fans, not only is there no more NINE-teen EIGHT-teen, but the whole relationship is different. I think in years past, cheers would have outnumbered the boos for Wells, who meant a lot to this team and publicly said he wanted to play for the Yankees. But now, even though it is their Boomer, they couldn't cheer for him even politely in a Sox uniform. I think one year ago, he would have gotten cheers in this situation.

Also, last year I would have gotten several emails or comments from co-workers about the same old Red Sox. They have avoided it, likely to avoid the comeback of "nice win by the Yankees, too bad that one win came 6 months too late."

The Red Sox played terribly, but I am several weeks away from that bothering me. If they are 11-13 or better after April, I'll be content as long as they are healthy on May 1.
 

Royal Flush

Radio announcers from the Tigers-Royals game just suggested that Calvin Pickering, who at 29 has been up and down from the minors five times, is the second biggest offensive threat in the Royals lineup.

It's going to be a long year for the Royals.

Wednesday, March 30, 2005

 

Must-see TV

Tonight at 8, forget about Lost. We've got the McDonald's All-America game on ESPN, and a World Cup Qualifier for the US against Guatemala.

Look out for Andrew Bynum, the 7-footer who will potentially replace Villanueva in the starting line-up next year, if he's ready. Would be great to have a front-court of the twin towers and Gay. I'm already excited about next year, since the whole team is coming back against Villanueva, and presumably Kellogg who has a bit of a drug problem. I haven't been this excited about an upcoming season in, well, two years!

As for soccer, the US should have no trouble in their game, but Guatemala can't be taken lightly. This is a must-win for the US, as they have to beat lesser opponents at home. It's as simple as that.

Tuesday, March 29, 2005

 

testing

Not just blogger, which erased my last post today, which pointed out an article in the Boston Globe about how Harvard kids have no fun.

Also testing Mozilla out, which if this works, then see ya Netscape!

edited to add: Hey it worked, and my last post wasn't erased!
 

Crimson and blue

News flash: Harvard kids don't have as much fun at school as kids at other top schools.

An internal Harvard memo, obtained by the Globe, provides numerical data that appear to substantiate some long-held stereotypes of Harvard: that undergraduate students often feel neglected by professors, and that they don't have as much fun as peers on many other campuses.

The group of 31 colleges, known as the Consortium on Financing Higher Education, or COFHE, includes all eight Ivy League schools, other top research universities like the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Stanford, and small colleges like Amherst and Wellesley. ''Harvard students are less satisfied with their undergraduate educations than the students at almost all of the other COFHE schools


This isn't really shocking. There's a tremendous amount of pressure, and a bit of isolation despite being in a city that should offer lots of social options. I'd be interested to see the whole report, and I wonder who the 4 schools that were below Harvard are.

I'd guess Cornell (suicide capital) may be there. Chill, you think your alma mater might make it?
 

Sunday Preview

Looking good (although it was mostly kids playing).

122 hours until the first pitch...it feels a little different that I didn't end last season saying "wait 'til next year." But that said, I still can't wait!
 

Good read

Interesting article on ESPN.com (this is definitely the kind of stuff I'd like to write if I were paid to do so), asking what would happen if high schoolers and college kids couldn't go pro early?

The Lebron love is a LITTLE excessive, and the stat-lines are more realistic for video games than they are for real life, but it's still fun to read and think about.

I had a similar thought last year, wondering what the Final Four would have been like if it were Duke with whatever clowns they had lost early in previous years, UConn with Caron Butler to go with Emeka and Gordon, Syracuse with Carmelo, and Lebron on whatever team he went to.

And in my opinion, Lebron doesn't get by any of those teams they play in the fantasy ESPN tourney in that article.

Monday, March 28, 2005

 

Layin' a Dookie

How much do I dislike Duke? I knew that their loss on Friday night would have a negative impact on my bracket, which was still in first place at the time. I even had mixed emotions about UNC beating Wisconsin since I knew that sealed my fate. But I was genuinely excited when Duke lost, despite the bracket ramifications. Simmons sums it up perfectly here, although him saying he didn't care who won or lost until a certain point makes me question his sanity:

(oh, and btw, the guy I know (barely) is still alive in the Simmons intern contest, which is down to the final 5 candidates)

4. Duke losing on Friday night
I didn't care what happened in this one until Jim Nantz started with his, "Coach K was saying this week that, no matter what happens, the Duke students and alumni will remember this team for the rest of their lives, the way they kept battling back from so many injuries, how they handled adversity and blah blah blah" routine (I'm paraphrasing). Yeah, what a bunch of courageous underdogs -- instead of relying on players who were top-10 national recruits in their high school classes, they had to rely on some of the guys who were just in the top 30. I feel horrible for them. It's such a chore to play Shavlik Randolph big minutes when he was the No. 1 recruit from that 2002 class. Check out this column from Dick Vitale from October, 2001. Really, I'm supposed to feel bad for Duke? Ever?


 

Chaaarlie

So Charlie Villanueva is discussing with his family whether to enter the draft of not.

Wonder if he'd like any advice from UConn fans, I'm sure they'd be of one mind on this one.

I really think that he isn't ready. He can rebound, and would be able to hold his own against power forwards or big small forwards in that category. He can definitely block shots. Assuming he would play the 4, he's got some nice range.

But the NC State game showed scouts a lot, and what it showed was that Calhoun, who sees this guy every day in practice and has produced consistently good pros, saw him as a liability on defense and would sub him out every chance he got. Then, there's the "conventional wisdom" that Charlie was inconsistent, which was repeated over and over again even when he put together a monster string of games.

All in all, I think Charlie Villanueva could make a decent pro. But clearly he needs to work on two things: his decision making when he has the ball and plans on doing anything other than score, and his defense.

I think another year at UConn would help him immeasurably. He would come back with something to prove, and the potential to lift his stock from a 20th pick to a potential lottery pick. It's even possible he could see some additional time at small forward with the big kid they have coming in. Villanueva, if he could do it, could be a very attractive big small forward in the NBA.

But as a power forward, with the skill set he has right now, I don't see him as more than a Maurice Taylor type. If you're saying, "who?" then maybe that's another reason he should stay.

Let Gay go, take some of his minutes at the 3 to go along with becoming an even better 4, and get taken 10th next year. More money, a better game, and CT will love you if you take them back to the final four.
 

Lost weekend

Some people might look at 3 Elite Eight games going to OT and say what a weekend, but for me it was a terrible sports weekend:

Last night, UConn women got beat up by Stanford.

Yesterday, the US men lost in a World Cup qualifier at Mexico. They've
never won at Mexico, at least not in the last 60+ years.

Arizona's monumental collapse on Saturday night may have cost me $100s of dollars. Instead of first place in my office pool (by a margin as big as the points given for a correct pick in the next round), I am now 1 point out of the money, and done.

And, as we look forward to my favorite sport, Curt Schilling got knocked around and will start the season in AAA.

Good thing that in non-sports areas I had a great weekend, or I'd really be depressed.

Thursday, March 24, 2005

 

Peace

I know that Sox and Yankee fans can get along, I have seen it happen.

So this story is kind of interesting:

Yankees fans and Red Sox fans were relentlessly taunting each other, and the fun of Boston's comeback win in the 2004 ALCS was being lost. As school officials worked to calm the students, they had a radical idea: Why not extend their peacemaking efforts to the big league level?

Their project to get the Red Sox and Yankees to shake hands before the opening-day game April 11 at Fenway Park has since been endorsed by Yankees owner George Steinbrenner.

Red Sox manager Terry Francona called the school to tell officials he liked the "The Merriam School Handshake Project," though he added he won't force it on the players.


That's all nice, but I have one question. How are there enough Yankee fans at a school in Acton, Mass to make this an issue? Shouldn't the 120 Sox fans have just pummelled the 2 Yankee fans and taken their snack packs from them? Apparantly, the Yankee influence has spread to our youth, even in Sox strongholds!
 

Cash money

My ability to win some cash will largely come down to 2 big games tonight. I'm well in reach in various paying pools (1st in a pool of 22, T-9th in a pool of 99, and 2nd in a pool of 8), but had UConn winning it all in the first two.

But where I differentiate myself from others is I have Arizona and Louisville in the Final Four. If they can both get there, I have a shot. If not, then the loads of people who have Illinois and UNC there will easily pass me.

The Washington-Louisville game (7:10 tonight) and the Arizona-Oklahoma State game (9:55 tonight) are clearly the best games of this round, and I'll have an extra rooting interest in both.

Beyond that, go West Virginia! They have the ability to knock out a. Bobby Knight and b. a Texas team, while c. putting a Big East team in the Elite 8.
 

New bar

My fiancee pointed out the new "Boston (212)" bar opening in the city. It's apparantly looking to compete a bit with Riviera Cafe, and based on the lines at Riviera on game day, there is certainly a market.

But more importantly to me, it is a block from my office, and I know it is within a 4 minute walk of our reader Chill's apartment.

Not an ideal spot for a bar, but I'm sure it will be a good draw. We'll see how it does after the baseball season.

Thursday, March 17, 2005

 

The Monstah

Dick "The Monster" Radatz has passed away. In reading the Red Sox Century, he was one of the most interesting and exciting players that I didn't know much about beforehand.

His best years were in Boston, where he broke into the big leagues in 1962. He was 49-34 with 104 saves, applied under modern rules because saves weren't recorded as a statistic in those days, in four-plus seasons with the Red Sox. He was an All-Star in 1963 and 1964.

Radatz regularly pitched multiple innings of relief, long before pitchers evolved into one-inning specialists. "He was a setup man, closer, finisher all in one," said Bill Lee, a former Red Sox pitcher and good friend of Radatz. "He was the best reliever of all time, for a short period of time."


As my tribute to him, a few weeks back I named my closer in my ongoing Baseball Stars (NES) season after him. Next time I bring him in it will be with a bit of sadness.

Wednesday, March 16, 2005

 

25 Man roster

Been a while since I posted about baseball. This is kind of the down period to me, not close enough to take spring training seriously, but not far enough away to be going nuts talking about what could be...especially when other people do it much better than me.

But I was looking at the Sox roster, and it seems to me they are going to have some very difficult decisions. Let's assume they start the season with 12 pitchers. And let's assume that they keep the following 11 for sure:

28 Doug Mirabelli
33 Jason Varitek
12 Mark Bellhorn
15 Kevin Millar
11 Bill Mueller
16 Edgar Renteria
18 Johnny Damon
7 Trot Nixon
44 Jay Payton
24 Manny Ramirez
34 David Ortiz

That leaves 2 spots for all of the following players:

78 Hanley Ramirez
23 Ramon Vazquez
20 Kevin Youkilis
25 Adam Hyzdu
62 Kelly Shoppach
36 Shawn Wooten
10 David McCarty
70 Simon Pond

OK let's assume that two guys who are getting a lot of time, but who have uniform numbers in the 70s, are going back down.

If they want a 5th outfielder (uh, good idea!) then they probably keep Hyzdu. If they want a utility infielder (uh, great idea!) they keep up Vazquez. I assume that Vazquez is pretty much a sure thing at this point.

So that means no 3rd catcher, no McCarty, and no Youkilis. Personally, I'd like to see them keep up Youkilis, who can play at 1st, and use Millar as the 5th outfielder when necessary. Then you can choose between a 12th pitcher, and Hyzdu.

If they take the pitchers that I think are sure things, and only take 11 in total, then there is only one roster spot to be won by either:

B.K. Kim
Lenny DiNardo
Mark Malaska
Anastacio Martinez
Jeremi Gonzalez
Denny Tomori

I have no idea who has the upper hand, but it woud surprise me if it was anyone other than DiNardo or Tomori at this point. But then again, I forget to listen to the games every day.
 

NCAA to NBA - bracket 3

Fennis Dembo bracket:

6. Maryland vs. 11. Georgia Tech

Maryland: Steve Francis, Juan Dixon, Laron Profit, Joe Smith, Chris Wilcox
Bench: Steve Blake, Tony Massenburg, Obinna Ekezie

Georgia Tech: Kenny Anderson, Stephon Marbury, Matt Harpring, Chris Bosh, Jason Collier
Bench: Jon Barry, Travis Best

This might be the most even matchup of the bunch so far. You've got two teams that can actually field a decent roster, with a bit of depth. Maryland has one glaring weakness, at small forward, as they are a bit guard- and center-heavy. Georgia Tech has a few too many guards, but could do a four man rotation up front with Barry, and a three man rotation in the back with Best.

Georgia Tech wins this game up front. The ability to move Stephon Marbury to the two-guard, where he can really score, can possible give a slight edge to Ga. Tech in the backcourt, despite Steve Francis's star power. The Marbury vs. Francis matchup would be a good one. But Georgia Tech has two guys up front who can score, where Maryland only has the disappointment known as Joe Smith, and Chris Wilcox who is still developing in Clipper land. Georgia Tech's strength on the bench with Barry would be enough to solidify a victory in a tough matchup. This would be the first "upset" we've had so far.


3. Kansas vs. 14. Cincinnati

Kansas: Kirk Hinrich, Paul Pierce, Drew Gooden, Raef Lafrentz, Scot Pollard
Bench: Nick Collison, Greg Ostertag, Billy Thomas, Jacque Vaughn

Cincy: Nick Van Exel, DerMarr Johnson, Ruben Patterson, Danny Fortson, Kenyon Martin
Bench: Tony Bobbitt

Sadly, it is very tempting to give this one to Cincinnati. You'd think Kansas would put together a better team than this. They have a solid starting lineup, but it includes guys playing a bit out of position at forward, and a guy who starts at center only when his teammate punches people and has to sit out.

Cincy field a pretty decent starting 4, plus DerMarr Johnson. But if we add in that Cincy has no bench, is undersized, and Fortson isn't very good any more, Kansas sneaks through. Michigan would have beat Kansas. Them's the breaks, the 11 seed Ga Tech will be able to give Kansas a run.

Next, will be the Danny Ferry bracket, featuring Dahntay Jones, Sean Marks, Luke Walton, and Mateen Cleaves. Stay tuned!

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